Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 11.195813 12.876128 14.675279 16.739525 19.036815 21.509266 24.365676
2025-09-28 8.780296 11.021921 13.591396 16.733542 20.450018 24.682815 29.844009
2025-10-05 7.522509 10.089756 13.185981 17.152191 22.051070 27.854773 35.196842
2025-10-12 6.566759 9.325918 12.801073 17.429031 23.352527 30.597329 40.035479
2025-10-19 5.754525 8.611676 12.354522 17.514676 24.329212 32.897115 44.342919
2025-10-26 4.908616 7.734945 11.582247 17.066053 24.525993 34.151005 47.311796
2025-11-02 4.252244 7.036764 10.966198 16.742394 24.815839 35.478441 50.364618
2025-11-09 3.693096 6.410206 10.380286 16.390157 25.007127 36.637712 53.190291
2025-11-16 3.231053 5.874535 9.868672 16.086126 25.216887 37.792825 56.010999
2025-11-23 2.788118 5.315740 9.266842 15.591632 25.102983 38.465652 58.160423
2025-11-30 2.536517 5.040594 9.071621 15.680299 25.819940 40.304279 61.961083
2025-12-07 2.302544 4.767958 8.853372 15.708982 26.433281 41.999037 65.593335
2025-12-14 2.116380 4.562433 8.731188 15.884644 27.282918 44.077767 69.863920
2025-12-21 1.916807 4.309380 8.507175 15.877050 27.841742 45.740504 73.577087
2025-12-28 1.806144 4.210645 8.535759 16.278004 29.046641 48.391872 78.801544
2026-01-04 1.684507 4.076079 8.488464 16.543202 30.038331 50.744058 83.639118
2026-01-11 1.548018 3.895283 8.341974 16.625252 30.729380 52.649651 87.850366
2026-01-18 1.357812 3.578724 7.918701 16.195494 30.553444 53.199151 90.012324
2026-01-25 1.203695 3.319003 7.578287 15.885498 30.552323 54.007425 92.574687
2026-02-01 1.063404 3.070749 7.237188 15.548183 30.480927 54.689757 94.945908
2026-02-08 0.943165 2.851787 6.933753 15.257077 30.467752 55.453405 97.450341
2026-02-15 0.818866 2.604174 6.548648 14.783697 30.107412 55.631342 99.021411
2026-02-22 0.756558 2.502680 6.458773 14.868570 30.733573 57.437983 103.222531